Aigle Noir vs Racing des Gonaives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 0
AIG
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
AIG
2 - 0
ROU
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AIG
1 - 2
BAL
45%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
ASR
1 - 2
AIG
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VIO
0 - 1
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing des Gonaives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
GON
1 - 0
VIO
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GON
2 - 0
ASR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAP
2 - 0
GON
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
GON
1 - 0
ROU
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 0
GON
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |