Aigle Noir vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
27.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 0
VIO
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
AIG
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 1
AIG
34%
31%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
DON
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAL
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
AIG
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
BAL
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
TEM
39%
32%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
BAL
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |