Aigle Noir vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
ASR
1 - 2
AIG
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VIO
0 - 1
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
AIG
0 - 0
CAP
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
DON
0 - 0
AIG
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASG
0 - 3
AIG
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
VIO
1 - 0
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 0
ROU
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
GON
0 - 0
BAL
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIC
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TEM
0 - 2
BAL
49%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |