Aigle Noir vs Musongati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
ANM
2 - 2
NOI
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ANM
3 - 2
LCR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
STA
2 - 3
ANM
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 0
ANM
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ANM
2 - 1
FLA
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
RMU
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 0
MFC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 0
MFC
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |