Copa del Presidente Burundi Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Aigle Noir vs Flambeau du Centre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
ANM
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 1
FLA
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
RUK
2 - 1
ANM
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUM
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RUK
2 - 1
ANM
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flambeau du Centre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
NOI
1 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
LCR
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLA
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |