Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
AGU
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAO
36%
23%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
0 - 1
AGU
17%
19%
64%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
XVD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
4 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |