AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
CRE
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUL
41%
25%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 4
SUN
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |