AFC Porth vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
CWM
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
5 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
AFC
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 0
CWM
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
TAF
0 - 1
CWM
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CWM
0 - 3
TAF
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
TAF
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TON
3 - 2
TAF
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |