AFC Porth vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PON
4 - 2
AFC
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 3
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
TON
0 - 1
AFC
45%
23%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
TON
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
WES
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |