AFC Ann Arbor vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MIT
0 - 4
AAA
27%
21%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
MIC
1 - 0
AAA
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
OCE
5 - 0
LEH
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
OCE
1 - 1
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
OCE
1 - 0
REA
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
OCE
1 - 0
NEW
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
OCE
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |