Afan Lido vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LID
0 - 1
HUC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LID
7 - 1
SUF
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LID
2 - 2
LLA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LID
1 - 1
TAF
15%
20%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
AIR
39%
23%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PON
0 - 2
TNS
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
PON
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |