AEK Larnaca vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARI
3 - 1
AEK
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
DOX
0 - 1
AEK
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AEK
6 - 0
ALK
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ERM
2 - 0
AEK
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
APO
3 - 0
AEK
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ETH
3 - 2
DOX
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 1
ENO
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
APO
2 - 0
ETH
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OMO
1 - 0
ETH
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 2
AEK
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |