AEK Larnaca vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ASI
1 - 0
AEK
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AEK
5 - 1
AYI
78%
15%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
OLY
1 - 1
AEK
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
AEK
3 - 1
ALK
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ONI
0 - 0
AEK
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DIG
2 - 0
MEA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
DIG
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PAE
1 - 1
DIG
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
DIG
1 - 2
ASI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AYI
0 - 2
DIG
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |