AEK Larnaca vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
AEK
2 - 1
PAF
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
OLY
0 - 2
AEK
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
AEK
1 - 1
ENO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 0
APO
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
OMO
3 - 0
AEK
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
DIG
0 - 2
ANO
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
PAF
0 - 1
DIG
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DIG
1 - 2
ARI
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
OLY
1 - 1
DIG
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
DIG
2 - 0
AYI
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |