Vilar de Santos vs Soutopenedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 1
VIL
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
VIL
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 6
VIL
64%
17%
19%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOE
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 1
VEL
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
6 - 2
PSI
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
31%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 1
SOU
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
ROC
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |