AD Plus Ultra vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
TAL
0 - 0
PUL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
PUL
5 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
SEG
0 - 0
PUL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PUL
0 - 1
CDT
81%
12%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
CAR
2 - 4
PUL
18%
27%
55%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ARA
0 - 0
TAL
19%
25%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
ALC
5 - 2
ARA
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ARA
0 - 1
SEG
40%
27%
33%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
CDT
4 - 1
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |