AD Plus Ultra vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
PUL
2 - 0
CDT
60%
20%
21%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
XER
2 - 0
PUL
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
PUL
3 - 2
SFE
60%
19%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
LEV
1 - 1
PUL
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
PUL
0 - 0
CDB
60%
20%
21%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
HER
3 - 2
XER
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SFE
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CDB
2 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |