AD Orión vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 3
MSM
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
7 - 0
ORI
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 1
TIE
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
MSM
0 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |