AD Llerenense vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
69.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
ADL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ADL
2 - 1
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CPC
7 - 0
ADL
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ADL
2 - 1
SNV
58%
21%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SNV
1 - 1
ADL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 0
CDD
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 4
BET
8%
18%
74%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 3
MAD
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EXT
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 3
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |