Hogar Alcarreño B vs Sporting Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
HOG
25%
21%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
0 - 1
CVL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
HOG
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
2 - 0
JAD
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIF
3 - 1
HOG
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
USA
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
ALC
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
DAM
30%
20%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
6 - 1
ALC
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 1
YEB
50%
20%
31%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |