Frei Paulistano vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 2
AFP
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 4
BAH
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |