AD Esperanza vs Complutense Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ADO
3 - 0
ADE
36%
23%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
ADE
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 4
PER
39%
23%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
COS
4 - 0
ADE
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TRC
2 - 2
ADE
46%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
TRC
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
GAL
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
TRJ
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAL
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |