AD Esperanza vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
ADE
52%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 2
SDH
18%
20%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 1
ADE
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
FTO
61%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DAG
1 - 1
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SDH
2 - 0
SFN
40%
22%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFN
5 - 1
FTO
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 4
SFN
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SFN
1 - 0
SHO
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NPI
3 - 2
SFN
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |