AgD Ceuta vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAD
1 - 0
AGD
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CDZ
1 - 1
AGD
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
ECI
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
DHE
0 - 1
AGD
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
JER
4 - 0
ECI
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
DHE
1 - 1
JER
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
JER
2 - 0
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 0
JER
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
JER
2 - 1
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |