Doce Mel vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
70.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
ADA
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
ADA
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 1
BAH
11%
17%
71%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 1
JAC
11%
17%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SDJ
0 - 0
BAH
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SDJ
3 - 1
VIT
11%
21%
67%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SDJ
0 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 1
SDJ
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |