Alcorcón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 3
ALC
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MLL
0 - 0
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALA
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 0
ELC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 3
NUM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |