Alcorcón vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
CCF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 1
SAB
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
ELC
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 3
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |