Alcorcón vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 1
ALC
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
ULP
35%
29%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 5
LOR
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
IMP
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
MER
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |