ACS Târgu Mures vs Universitatea Alba Iulia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
21
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACS Târgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 0
ACS
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
VII
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
UNI
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
FCU
4 - 0
ACS
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ACS
4 - 3
SNT
62%
18%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Alba Iulia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UAI
1 - 0
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
UAI
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UAI
3 - 1
SNT
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
UAI
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 0
AVA
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |