Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COV
0 - 2
STA
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STA
3 - 2
STE
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 1
STA
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
STA
3 - 2
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
YEO
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
4 - 1
CRE
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 3
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 3
WYC
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRE
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |