Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
BUR
16%
21%
64%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 1
STA
35%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
BBU
4 - 3
CRE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CRE
3 - 3
HAR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 0
OPA
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |