Acapulco vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acapulco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 0
ACA
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 2
UAT
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CAO
0 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
3 - 1
LOB
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TAB
1 - 1
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAÑ
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
COB
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
MEX
3 - 1
CAÑ
35%
25%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |