Académica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2004 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 1
GFC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 1
UDL
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 3
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 2
UDL
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
PEN
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |