Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
BMA
0 - 1
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EST
3 - 3
ACA
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 0
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
SCP
2 - 1
BMA
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |