Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SAL
1 - 3
ACA
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
ACA
3 - 1
SPB
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |