Pavia vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
ASD
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 3
PAV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 1
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
PAV
27%
28%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 0
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GOZ
3 - 0
BOR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
GOZ
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 2
GOZ
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GOZ
5 - 1
VOG
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |