Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
PAV
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
RAV
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAV
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
BV5
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 1
PAV
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
PRO
3 - 2
COM
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
ASG
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
3 - 0
COM
70%
19%
10%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |