AC Paranavaí vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACP
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
COT
1 - 1
ACP
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACP
3 - 2
COT
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
COT
7 - 2
ROM
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 1
NPR
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
ROM
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |