AC Paranavaí vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ACP
3 - 5
CAM
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ACP
0 - 0
ENG
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
ACP
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ACP
2 - 2
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UBA
0 - 2
ACP
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
COT
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UBA
2 - 2
PAR
8%
17%
75%
|
79 | 36 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
LON
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
66%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ENG
0 - 2
PAR
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |