AC Monza vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 0
USC
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
USA
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
REG
4 - 2
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
2 - 2
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
PAG
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |