AC Monza vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASS
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
CHI
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
GEN
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
ATL
3 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAL
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAL
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ALZ
2 - 2
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FER
1 - 0
CES
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
VIC
4 - 0
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FER
1 - 1
CHI
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |