AC Monza vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
52%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ASS
6 - 3
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASS
51%
25%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 0
BV5
30%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
4 - 1
VAR
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 2
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |