Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
NAP
0 - 0
MAN
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 1
MAN
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
PIA
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRE
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |