Mantova vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
REA
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 4
MAN
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
SAS
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
8%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAS
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
REN
0 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
DEL
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |