Mantova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOR
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
USC
1 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 0
BAR
25%
28%
48%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TER
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ABN
0 - 0
FCC
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 2
BRE
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |