Mantova vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 3
MAN
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
FRO
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 3
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 2
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 2
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
BAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |