Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACL
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ACL
1 - 2
ATA
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
UAR
2 - 0
ACL
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACL
1 - 3
GER
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
ACL
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UAR
0 - 1
VIC
21%
26%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 0
UAR
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
UAR
2 - 0
ACL
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UAR
1 - 2
PAD
16%
25%
60%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
UAR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |