Lumezzane vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 2
SOR
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 1
ACL
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 2
FCS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 1
ACL
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 2
ASS
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 2
PER
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
REG
2 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
RAV
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |