Lumezzane vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 2
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACL
0 - 0
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ACL
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PAG
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
SOR
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |