Locri 1909 vs Siracusa analysis


39	ELO	56
-3.2%	Tilt	-2.4%
7267º	General ELO ranking	1400º
278º	Country ELO ranking	54º
ELO win probability

20.2%

Locri 1909

23.1%

Draw

56.7%

Siracusa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

20.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%

23.1%

Draw

0-0

6.3%

1-1

11%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

23.1%

56.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-31%

+27%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

28

7º

17º

81

1º

9º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	94	98	1º	100%
2º	81	85	2º	100%
3º	72	75	3º	88%
4º	65	69	4º	76%
19º	0	59	5º	36.5%
5º	54	57	6º	50.5%
6º	52	55	7º	36.5%
7º	51	54	8º	39%
8º	50	53	9º	35%
9º	48	51	10º	48%
10º	45	46	11º	62.5%
11º	43	44	12º	51%
12º	42	43	13º	65.5%
13º	37	38	14º	95%
14º	32	33	15º	74.5%
15º	29	31	16º	68%
16º	28	29	17º	90.5%
17º	18	20	18º	100%
18º	9	10	19º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation play-offs	9.5%	0%
Relegation	90.5%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Locri 1909

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Jan. 2024	LUC 1 - 1 LOC 34% 23% 43%	39	36	3	0
17 Dec. 2023	LOC 2 - 2 ACI 39% 26% 35%	39	45	6	0
10 Dec. 2023	REG 1 - 0 LOC 68% 21% 11%	40	72	32	-1
03 Dec. 2023	LOC 2 - 1 FCI 61% 20% 19%	40	34	6	0
26 Nov. 2023	SAN 4 - 1 LOC 40% 26% 34%	41	42	1	-1

Matches

Siracusa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
07 Jan. 2024	SIR 3 - 2 CAN 73% 17% 10%	56	40	16
21 Dec. 2023	SIR 2 - 1 CAS 72% 17% 11%	56	38	18
17 Dec. 2023	AKR 0 - 2 SIR 29% 25% 46%	56	44	12
10 Dec. 2023	SIR 2 - 2 USV 59% 23% 18%	56	50	6
03 Dec. 2023	USC 1 - 3 SIR 7% 19% 74%	56	34	22